Demand for Spanish property from overseas continues to grow

Brits holding their ground in the face of Brexit, writes market analyst Mark Stucklin

LAST UPDATED: 14 Sep, 2016 @ 18:05
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Mark-Stucklin
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HOME sales to foreign buyers are booming in Spain. And even the Brits are continuing to flock to their place in the sun.  

The latest housing market figures from the Property Registrars based on home sales inscribed in the Registry show that foreign demand for property in Spain grew strongly in the second quarter with British buyers holding their ground as the dominant group in the lead up to Brexit.

Indeed, foreign buyers were involved in 14,429 home sales from April until June, up 29.1% on the same period last year.

Total sales in Q2 were up 23.7% to 107,838, as purchases involving local buyers increased 22.9% to 93,409.

As a result, the market share of foreign buyers in Q2 was 13.4%, almost a record high (see chart above). So it seems that the appetite of foreign investors for property in Spain just keeps rising.

The British were once again the biggest group by far with 20% of the foreign market, followed by the Germans with 8%, and the French and Swedish with 7% each.

Swedish demand was up the most – by 60% – followed by Italian demand up 46%, and Chinese demand up 31%. Russian demand continues to contract, down 1%, and Norwegian demand fell by 2%. The sum of demand from small markets was up 32% in a good sign of diversification. German demand was up a healthy 25%, and French demand up 12%.

British demand was up 29% year-on-year, which may come as a surprise to those expecting to see a collapse in demand from the UK in the light of Brexit.

However, given that the UK’s referendum on EU membership took place on June 23, these figures do not reflect sales after the referendum. If there has been a big drop in British buyers since the Brexit vote, it probably won’t show up until the Q3 and Q4 figures are released.

That said, I was expecting to see a decline in British demand simply due to the weaker pound at the start of the year. As it happens British buyers stood their ground, and demand from the UK has been fairly steady for four consecutive quarters. But given the pound is now closer to €1.15, how long can this last? I expect to see a noticeable decline in the Q3 figures when they come out.

It is interesting to see that both German and French demand decreased, suggesting that the Germans and the French are not falling over themselves to take advantage of low house prices in Spain. Perhaps there are other factors putting them off.

The Swedish bought more than 1,000 homes in Spain in one quarter, the first time that has ever happened, while Chinese demand is steadily increasing, perhaps due to the Spanish ‘Golden Visa’ scheme.

The Registrars also report that their house price index, based on a repeat sale methodology (only counting properties sold twice in the study period), rose by an annualised 7.48% in Q2.

All in all the picture is one of increasing foreign demand for property in Spain, though who knows how large it could be if Spain was better governed.

• Mark Stucklin runs www.spanishpropertyinsight.com for buyers, owners, and vendors of property in Spain





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3 COMMENTS

  1. That is odd because on the 7th, 8th and 9th of September he was tweeting negative property comments like ‘no growth in house sales’ and ‘glut of properties following Brexit vote’, and with Stg lower there’s been a drop in British buyers.

  2. “Perhaps there are other factors putting them off”

    I wonder what that could be? Maybe corruption or the total lack of proper planning laws? Perhaps it’s corrupt mayors, or the fact that Spain doesn’t even have a government? So many factors to choose from.

  3. Regarding Germany there is a rising demand for holiday properties in Germany. The reason for that may be warmer weather conditions in Germany and a restraint in air travel caused by the aging population and by fears of terrorism.

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