SCIENTISTS from the University of Valladolid have created a computer model that predicts the probability of corruption in Spanish provinces.

According to the study, published in Social Indicators Research, the likelihood of corruption increases when the same party stays in government.

Interestingly, other risk factors for shady shenanigans include real estate tax, a housing price increase, bank openings and the creation of new companies, according to the study.

“As might be expected, our model confirms that an increase in the number of years of government by the same political party increases the chances of corruption,” commented study author Ivan Pastor. “Fortunately, for the next years, this alert system predicts fewer indications of corruption in our country.”

The study looked at all cases of corruption in Spain between 2000 and 2012. It is hoped it will be used to strengthen the fight against dodgy dealing.

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